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The Lindy Effect is a theory that states: “The longer something has existed, the longer it is likely to continue existing.”

That might sound a bit abstract, so here’s a simple example.

The Hershey’s Milk Chocolate Bar…

It was the first mass-produced chocolate bar, introduced in 1900. The recipe remains unchanged to this day, and it’s still incredibly popular. It’s also deeply ingrained in pop culture, you can go almost anywhere in the world and people know exactly what it is.

Now compare that to the Hershey’s Gold bar, which was introduced in 2017 and discontinued by 2020.

As the Lindy Effect suggests: what’s been around tends to stay around.

Which brings us to the core idea of today’s report, how focusing on Lindy Effect industries can make you a better investor.

1. Water

Picture this: you earn a fraction of a penny every time someone in your city washes their hands or flushes a toilet. That’s exactly how water utility companies operate.

It’s why they’re some of the most stable and predictable stocks in the market.

The York Water Company ($YORW) was founded in 1816 and has paid uninterrupted dividends for over 200 years.

Similarly, American States Water Company ($AWR) holds the longest dividend growth streak in the United States, raising its payout every year for 71 consecutive years.

These aren’t fast growers, but they are reliable.

2. Grains

Farming was the original arms race.

Groups that could cultivate land could free up part of their population for other tasks, like building weapons and studying war, allowing them to conquer less advanced hunter-gatherer societies.

There’s a great book, Against the Grain, that discusses this idea in depth. But the takeaway is simple: grains like wheat, corn, and rice form the bedrock of civilization.

While food companies are often poor investments, The Kraft Heinz Company instantly springs to mind, activities like grain processing and transportation are surprisingly lucrative and stable.

There are only a handful of these “Merchants of Grain,” and several date back more than a century.

Archer-Daniels-Midland Company ($ADM) and Bunge Global SA ($BG) are both publicly traded. ADM is even a Dividend King, with over 90 years of continuous dividend payments and 53 consecutive years of dividend growth.

Grain is a commodity, and these stocks are volatile.

But over the long term, these businesses have consistently paid dividends and appreciated in value.

3. Trains

Trains remain the most efficient way to move large quantities of goods over land.

Airplanes and trucks simply cannot compete with their carrying capacity.

A single railcar can transport up to 240,000 pounds of freight. Even a massive cargo plane typically carries only around 300,000 pounds total.

Trains also handle dangerous cargo that airplanes can’t. Would you want 200,000 pounds of chlorine flying overhead? Or radioactive waste? Or explosives?

Union Pacific Corporation ($UNP) has paid dividends for over a century.

Other companies, like CSX Corporation ($CSX), are newer but still operate wide-moat rail networks that monopolize bulk transport within their regions.

This is an industry built around technology so old that most investors barely think about it. Yet, railroad stocks continue to generate steady dividend income and long-term capital appreciation.

Conclusion

Everyone wants to invest in the next big disruptor or a potential trillion-dollar industry.

Few want to look backward, investigating functional, “boring” businesses that are already established and consistently profitable.

And that’s where much of the opportunity lies.

The next time you’re searching for high-performance stocks, consider the Lindy Effect. It’s one of the simplest ways to identify stalwart, high-quality investments built for the long run.

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Disclaimer: This article is for entertainment purposes only. It is not financial advice, always do your own research.

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